With the rapid development of urban agglomeration,intercity railways not only strengthen the connection between the city groups,but also accelerate the development of the areas along the line.Intercity railways have significant impacts on the infrastructure of surrounding areas.Therefore,the scale of land development needs to be precisely con-trolled and land use needs to be well planned before construction.A prediction model of intercity railway passengers is op-timized in this paper by analyzing the relationship between intercity railways and land uses.Assuming that the land develop-ment area is a constant,the peak-hour passenger flows at any given station can be calculated.The results of the model,in addi-tion to indicators such as land development intensity,passenger flow rate and population,are used to forecast the passenger flows attracted to the stations.Taking these indicators into consideration,a predication model of daily passenger flows is proposed based on land uses.The average daily passenger flows can be predicted through traffic forecasting,and thus a more effectively control of the scale of land development can be achieved.In this paper,the Guangzhou-Qingyuan Intercity Railway Stations are used for a case study.The results confirmed the accuracy,feasibility and efficiency of the model.
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